Let me talk about a few characteristics of Sui's market operations, and walrus might also follow this approach. I suggest you learn about it in advance.
1. They like to pump the price around the unlocking time. Sui often has market movements around the beginning of each month when unlocking occurs; you can go back and check the K-line for confirmation.
2. Once it starts, it happens very quickly, and there are almost no comfortable entry points, along with a duration of paid rates.
3. There are also various high-yield mining activities happening simultaneously on the chain, with TVL growing rapidly, which is a way to reasonably multiply your chips. The difference in token quantity between participating and not participating can be 10% to 20%.
4. There will be a good price increase accompanying positive news, with the news and token price moving in sync; many projects fail to achieve even this.
5. When the trend is upward, the pullbacks are minimal. It often moves against the market trend; I used to call Sui's market the "reverse child." It tends to rise when the market is falling or consolidating, which can attract market attention and funds.
6. It washes out the weak hands and leaves profits for the believers. Participate more in the ecosystem to gain more chips.
Sui 庄的下一个押注下个爆发式增长机会 walrus
和 Sui 早期有诸多相似之处
➤ 先讲资金和操盘层面
1、灰度做了 walrus 和 DEEP 的信托,全家桶齐了,是机构入场的明确信号
2、去年 sui 纳入信托的时候 sui 刚启动,时间是2024年8月7日推出了Sui信托,当时的价格是 $0.8,这是大多数的平均成本价
walrus 和 sui 有很多类似的地方,第一波 sui 到了 2 刀后回到 0.6~0.8,walrus 从上线翻倍最高价 $0.77。期间一直横盘在 0.4 附近积累筹码,最低价是 $0.35
3、walrus 机构的明牌融资成本是 $0.4,在2026年3月27日才会开始解锁。现在的价格0.4~0.45也是大多数人的平均成本,盈利不多。长时间的横盘,可以被视为一个健康的筹码换手和积累过程。市场在清洗掉短期的投机者和空投获利玩家,随时可能启动。
4、Sui 庄和其他恶劣的做市商不同,他开始的所有筹码都是从二级市场上买入的,包括 Sui、DEEP、WAL 都是,前期的投资人并没有解锁。
➤ Walrus项目基本面变化
1、walrus 最近重新开始重点宣传,动作很频繁,包括上线了 Kaito 的榜单和大型 web2 公司 Onefootball (全球两亿粉丝)的合作。
2、Sui 在 5 月的 SuiBasecamp 更新了叙事,Sui:面向未来的 Web3 全栈基础设施,内置流动性 (DeepBook)、可验证存储 (Walrus)、安全访问 (SEAL)、高性能网络 (SCION) 和链下计算 (Nautilus)。Walrus 是其中最重要的一环。
3、和灰度推出信托的时机和去年 Sui 高度相似。
4、Walrus 的挖矿激励提高了很多,链上年化 40%,大量资金开始涌入 WAL 中
5、第二期空投正在路上(需要质押 WAL),作为一个市场的催化剂
➤ 我的交易策略
进场和出场策略,现货 0.4~0.46买入,网格设定在 0.37~0.8。爆仓价控制在 0.34。现货 WAL 全部在链上挖矿,一部分做市同样也是参考网格设定的区间。
如果行情结束跌会在 0.4 离场,因为说明可能判断错了,重新再找入场机会。
Walrus 是否会成为 Sui 庄下一个押注的机会,相信市场将很快给出答案。
#WAL #SUI
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